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    Carmelics

    A reasoning platform. Break down any belief into clear reasons, explore both sides, and weigh the evidence honestly.

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    LoyalLoyalJusticeJustice
    Made withinDC&Austin
    Statements
    321,452
    Perspectives
    108,905
    Topics
    42
    Home/Original/inverse
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    Inverse View

    It is not the case that Our expectation that the future will conform to the past is determined by custom and habit, not by reason or logical necessity.

    ?Set your confidence on the premises below to see your aggregate.

    Reasons For

    2 perspectives
    Reason for 1 of 2
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    • 1.Kant argued that causation is a pure concept of the understanding (category) that the mind imposes on experience a priori, not derived from it.
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    • 2.If causal necessity is a precondition for having coherent experience at all, then inductive expectation has a transcendental justification beyond mere habit.
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    • 3.Hume's argument presupposes a passive mind receiving impressions, but if the mind actively structures experience, the habit/reason dichotomy is false.
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    Reason for 2 of 2
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    • 1.Peter Strawson's 'dissolution' argues that demanding a non-circular justification for induction sets an illegitimately high standard borrowed from deductive logic.
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    • 2.Inductive inference is constitutive of what we mean by 'rational belief formation' in empirical contexts, making it self-undermining to call it 'mere' habit.
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    • 3.If rationality in empirical domains just is responsiveness to evidence patterns, then custom-based inference satisfies the relevant standard of reason rather than falling short of it.
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    Reasons Against

    1 perspective
    Reason against
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    • 1.When observing a billiard-ball moving toward another, the mind is carried by habit to anticipate the usual effect.
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    • 2.There is nothing in objects, considered abstractly and independent of experience, that leads to any conclusion about their future behavior.
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    • 3.Even after repeated experience of effects of a certain kind, no argument determines that future effects will conform to past experience.
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    Strongest counterpoint
    Explore the most compelling reason on the other side.