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    Carmelics

    A reasoning platform. Break down any belief into clear reasons, explore both sides, and weigh the evidence honestly.

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    LoyalLoyalJusticeJustice
    Made withinDC&Austin
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    Home/Original/inverse
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    Inverse View

    It is not the case that P disconfirms G in the sense of lowering the probability of G.

    ?Set your confidence on the premises below to see your aggregate.

    Reasons For

    2 perspectives
    Reason for 1 of 2
    ?
    • 1.On skeptical theism (Wykstra, Bergmann), human cognitive limitations make it epistemically inaccessible whether P is the kind of evidence that lowers G's probability.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 2.If we cannot reliably assess the probability of gratuitous evil given theism, we lack the probabilistic baseline needed to confirm that P disconfirms G.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 3.Alston's argument that we have no well-grounded probability distribution over divine reasons entails that Bayesian disconfirmation claims here are formally ungrounded.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    Reason for 2 of 2
    ?
    • 1.Background knowledge K already includes the full history of suffering, so P adds no independent probabilistic weight beyond what K already encodes.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    • 2.When P is entailed by or redundant with K, the conditional probability P(G|P&K) cannot be demonstrably lower than P(G|K).
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

    Reasons Against

    1 perspective
    Reason against
    ?
    • The probability that God exists is lower given the combination of P together with our background knowledge than it is given our background knowledge alone.
      ?

      Think about whether this reason is strong or weak

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    Strongest counterpoint
    Explore the most compelling reason on the other side.