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    Suzy's rock in mid-trajectory depends on Suzy's initial t... — Carmelics
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    Challenges→Lewis's counterfactual theory of causation cannot explain the judgement that Suzy's throw caused the shattering of the bottle.

    Suzy's rock in mid-trajectory depends on Suzy's initial throw, but the shattering of the bottle does not depend on Suzy's rock in mid-trajectory, because even without Suzy's rock in mid-trajectory the bottle would still have shattered because of Billy's throw.

    Causation
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    Causation

    Key Terms

    causal dependence(Lewis's counterfactual theory of causation)
    A counterfactual relation in which an effect depends on a cause such that, had the cause not occurred, the effect would not have occurred.
    counterfactual(Modal logic and epistemology)
    A conditional statement concerning what would be the case if some antecedent condition were true, evaluated across possible worlds; contraposition does not hold in general for counterfactuals.
    depends on(as used in causation and philosophy of dependence)
    When something 'depends on' something else, it means the first thing wouldn't happen or wouldn't be the way it is without the second thing. Think of it like how a plant depends on sunlight—without sunlight, the plant wouldn't grow the same way.

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    Lewis's counterfactual theory of causation cannot explain the judgement that Suz...There is no causal dependence between Suzy's throw and the shattering of the bot...There is no chain of stepwise counterfactual dependences running from Suzy's thr...

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    Billy's throw has some degree of influence on the bottle's shattering ...93%There is no causal dependence between Suzy's throw and the shattering ...90%Suzy's throw caused the bottle to shatter, not Billy's throw86%Billy's throw would have shattered the bottle only if Suzy had not thr...85%

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    SEP: causation-counterfactual
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    Lewis’s theory cannot explain the judgement that Suzy’s throw caused the shattering of the bottle. For there is no causal dependence between Suzy’s throw and the shattering, since even if Suzy had not thrown her rock, the bottle would have shattered due to Billy’s throw. Nor is there a chain of stepwise dependences running cause to effect, because there is no event intermediate between Suzy’s throw and the shattering that links them up into a chain of dependences. Take, for instance, Suzy’s rock

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