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    Therefore, knowledge of the entire process from C to E in... — Carmelics
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    Supports→Comparative process tracing avoids the extrapolator's circle.

    Therefore, knowledge of the entire process from C to E in the target is not required to establish that C causes E.

    Causation
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    Causation

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    knowledge(Distinguished from mere true belief, which may be the product of indoctrination and need not exercise deliberative capacities.)
    Justified true belief — true belief that has been arrived at through the exercise of deliberative capacities, including comparison of and deliberation among alternatives.

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    Comparative process tracing avoids the extrapolator's circle.

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    Comparative process tracing would be futile if, in order to know that C causes E in the target species or population, we would have to compare all the stages of the process between model and target. This is because in order to do so, we would have to know all stages of the process through which C causes E, but if we did, we would already know that C causes E. This brings us back to the extrapolator’s circle. Steel now argues that comparative process tracing avoids the extrapolator’s circle by de

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