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    Comparative process tracing avoids the extrapolator's cir... — Carmelics
    Home/Causation
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    Comparative process tracing avoids the extrapolator's circle.

    Causation
    ?Rate how convincing each reason is below to see the overall strength.
    1 reason for
    2 reasons against

    Reasons For

    1 perspective
    Reason for
    ?
    • 1.Comparative process tracing requires comparing processes only at stages where model and target are likely to differ.
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    • 2.Differences between model and target are assumed to matter only to stages that are downstream from where those differences obtain.
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    • 3.If an intermediate stage of the process is found to be relevantly similar between model and target, then any remaining differences can only be downstream of that stage.
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    Reasons Against

    2 perspectives
    Reason against 1 of 2
    ?
    • 1.Identifying 'relevant similarity' at an intermediate stage requires prior causal knowledge of which similarities are causally relevant—the very knowledge CPT claims to generate.
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    • 2.The judgment that differences are only 'downstream' of a shared stage presupposes a causal map of the process, reinstating dependence on the target-level causal knowledge CPT was meant to bypass.
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    Reason against 2 of 2
    ?
    • 1.Russo and Williamson's mechanistic account establishes that causal claims require evidential warrant for both difference-making and continuous process in the specific target population.
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    • 2.CPT's staged similarity comparisons establish continuity in the model system, but the inference to the target system's process still requires an extrapolative step that inherits the original circle at a higher level of abstraction.
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    Causation

    Related

    CPT's staged similarity comparisons establish continuity in the model system, bu...Comparative process tracing requires comparing processes only at stages where mo...Differences between model and target are assumed to matter only to stages that a...Identifying 'relevant similarity' at an intermediate stage requires prior causal...
    +4 moreShow less
    If an intermediate stage of the process is found to be relevantly similar betwee...Russo and Williamson's mechanistic account establishes that causal claims requir...The judgment that differences are only 'downstream' of a shared stage presuppose...Therefore, knowledge of the entire process from C to E in the target is not requ...

    Similar

    Comparative process tracing requires comparing processes only at stage...78%Requiring prior knowledge of what one is trying to establish is circul...73%Comparative process tracing would be futile if it required comparing a...72%This distinction between explanatory and non-explanatory proofs has a ...66%

    Source

    AI-extracted1/3 agreementValid
    SEP: medicine
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    Comparative process tracing would be futile if, in order to know that C causes E in the target species or population, we would have to compare all the stages of the process between model and target. This is because in order to do so, we would have to know all stages of the process through which C causes E, but if we did, we would already know that C causes E. This brings us back to the extrapolator’s circle. Steel now argues that comparative process tracing avoids the extrapolator’s circle by de
    Extraction notes

    Validity: Extracted via Max plan + API grounding/validity checks

    Details

    Type
    claim
    Perspectives
    3 (1 for, 2 against)
    Edits
    1 edit