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    Carmelics

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    LoyalLoyalJusticeJustice
    Made withinDC&Austin
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    Home/Original/inverse
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    Inverse View

    It is not the case that When the outcome is uncertain, rational beings ought to choose in accordance with what is typically nature's purpose.

    ?Set your confidence on the premises below to see your aggregate.

    Reasons For

    2 perspectives
    Reason for 1 of 2
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    • 1.Expected utility theory shows that rational choice under uncertainty requires weighting outcomes by probability, not deference to typical natural ends.
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    • 2.Aligning with nature's 'usual purpose' systematically ignores variance and tail risks that a rational agent is obligated to consider (Savage, Foundations of Statistics).
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    • 3.A decision procedure that ignores outcome magnitudes in favor of typicality can mandate choices that maximally harm agents in non-typical cases.
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    Reason for 2 of 2
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    • 1.What counts as 'nature's purpose' is not empirically discoverable but is smuggled in via normative assumptions (Hume, Treatise, III.i.1).
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    • 2.Deriving a rational norm from observed natural patterns commits the is-ought fallacy, undermining the logical bridge between P2 and P3.
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    Reasons Against

    1 perspective
    Reason against
    ?
    • 1.Humans rarely can know future outcomes with certainty.
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    • 2.Experience reveals what usually happens in the course of nature.
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    • 3.Aligning choice with nature's usual purpose is the appropriate substitute for knowledge of the actual outcome.
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