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    Aumann — Carmelics
    Thinkers/Aumann
    Aumann

    Aumann

    contemporaryGame Theory, Interactive Epistemology, Mathematical Economics

    b. 1930

    Robert J. Aumann (born 1930) is an Israeli-American mathematician and economist, Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences (2005), whose foundational work spans game theory, interactive epistemology, and the formal analysis of rational belief. He is best known for the Aumann Agreement Theorem, the development of correlated equilibrium, and his rigorous treatment of common knowledge in strategic contexts. His 1995 paper on backward induction and common knowledge of rationality sparked a sustained debate with philosophers including Stalnaker over the correct epistemic foundations of sequential game theory.

    WWikipedia

    Notable Achievements

    1

    Awarded Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences (2005) for analysis of conflict and cooperation via game theory

    2

    Proved the Aumann Agreement Theorem: Bayesian agents with common priors and common knowledge of posteriors cannot disagree

    3

    Developed the concept of correlated equilibrium as a generalization of Nash equilibrium

    4

    Provided the first rigorous formal definition of common knowledge in a mathematical framework

    5

    Advanced the theory of repeated games and long-run cooperative behavior (Folk Theorem contributions)

    Positions & Arguments(2)

    Skepticism

    claim

    The difference in conclusions between Aumann (1995) and Stalnaker (1998) is due to differing models of belief revision upon deviation from the backward induction path

    claim

    Plausibility updates in sequential games during actual play differ in interpretation from plausibility updates used in pregame deliberation for Backward Induction.

    Truth & Knowledge

    claim

    The difference in conclusions between Aumann (1995) and Stalnaker (1998) is due to differing models of belief revision upon deviation from the backward induction path

    claim

    Plausibility updates in sequential games during actual play differ in interpretation from plausibility updates used in pregame deliberation for Backward Induction.

    At a Glance

    Ideas

    2

    Topics

    2

    Era

    contemporary

    Tradition

    Game Theory, Interactive Epistemology, Mathematical Economics

    Topic Influence

    Truth & Knowledge2
    Skepticism2

    Related Thinkers

    David Lewis2 sharedImmanuel Kant2 sharedBoyd2 sharedBrian Skyrms2 sharedStathis Psillos2 sharedBertrand Russell2 sharedDavid Hume2 sharedAristotle2 shared

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