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    Carmelics

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    LoyalLoyalJusticeJustice
    Made withinDC&Austin
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    Home/Original/inverse
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    Inverse View

    It is not the case that Comparative process tracing avoids the extrapolator's circle.

    ?Set your confidence on the premises below to see your aggregate.

    Reasons For

    2 perspectives
    Reason for 1 of 2
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    • 1.Identifying 'relevant similarity' at an intermediate stage requires prior causal knowledge of which similarities are causally relevant—the very knowledge CPT claims to generate.
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    • 2.The judgment that differences are only 'downstream' of a shared stage presupposes a causal map of the process, reinstating dependence on the target-level causal knowledge CPT was meant to bypass.
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    Reason for 2 of 2
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    • 1.Russo and Williamson's mechanistic account establishes that causal claims require evidential warrant for both difference-making and continuous process in the specific target population.
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    • 2.CPT's staged similarity comparisons establish continuity in the model system, but the inference to the target system's process still requires an extrapolative step that inherits the original circle at a higher level of abstraction.
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    Reasons Against

    1 perspective
    Reason against
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    • 1.Comparative process tracing requires comparing processes only at stages where model and target are likely to differ.
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    • 2.Differences between model and target are assumed to matter only to stages that are downstream from where those differences obtain.
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    • 3.If an intermediate stage of the process is found to be relevantly similar between model and target, then any remaining differences can only be downstream of that stage.
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