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    If accurate prediction of genuinely free choices requires... — Carmelics
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    Challenges→The fortune teller's predictive accuracy can be explained without appealing to knowledge of the player's future choice.

    If accurate prediction of genuinely free choices requires knowledge of counterfactuals of freedom, then present behavioral data is insufficient to ground such predictions.

    ?Rate how convincing each reason is below to see the overall strength.
    1 reason for
    1 reason against

    Reasons For

    1 perspective
    Reason for
    ?
    • 1.Counterfactuals of freedom specify what agents would choose under different conditions, information present behavioral data cannot provide.
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    • 2.Past behavior patterns underdetermine future free choices because freedom requires agents could have acted otherwise in identical circumstances.
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    • 3.Prediction without counterfactual knowledge treats agents as mechanistic systems, not genuinely free beings capable of novel self-determination.
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    Reasons Against

    1 perspective
    Reason against
    ?
    • 1.Behavioral data reveals dispositions and character traits that reliably predict choices without requiring knowledge of unrealized counterfactuals.
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    • 2.Counterfactuals of freedom are epistemically inaccessible; if the claim demands unknowable information, it makes prediction logically impossible, not merely difficult.
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    • 3.Free choices can correlate with observable patterns in values, constraints, and reasoning without contradicting freedom, making present data potentially sufficient.
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    Key Terms

    knowledge(Distinguished from mere true belief, which may be the product of indoctrination and need not exercise deliberative capacities.)
    Justified true belief — true belief that has been arrived at through the exercise of deliberative capacities, including comparison of and deliberation among alternatives.

    Connections

    1 topic

    Free Will & Foreknowledge1 linked

    Related

    Behavioral data reveals dispositions and character traits that reliably predict ...Counterfactuals of freedom are epistemically inaccessible; if the claim demands ...Counterfactuals of freedom specify what agents would choose under different cond...Free choices can correlate with observable patterns in values, constraints, and ...
    +3 moreShow less
    Past behavior patterns underdetermine future free choices because freedom requir...Prediction without counterfactual knowledge treats agents as mechanistic systems...The fortune teller's predictive accuracy can be explained without appealing to k...

    Details

    Type
    claim
    Perspectives
    2 (1 for, 1 against)
    Edits
    1 edit