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    If the pursuer can replicate the fugitive's reasoning, sh... — Carmelics
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    Home/Free Will & Foreknowledge
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    Supports→Any reasoning process that leads the fugitive to a 'best' bridge choice will be anticipated by an equally rational pursuer, making that choice suboptimal.

    If the pursuer can replicate the fugitive's reasoning, she can predict the fugitive's chosen bridge and wait there.

    Free Will & ForeknowledgeTruth & Knowledge
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    Free Will & ForeknowledgeTruth & Knowledge

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    A predicted choice leads to certain capture.Any reasoning process that leads the fugitive to a 'best' bridge choice will be ...Whatever reasoning the fugitive uses to select a bridge, the pursuer—being equal...

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    If the fugitive's reasoning selects a particular bridge as optimal, th...90%If the fugitive chooses the safest bridge, the pursuer will predict th...90%Whatever reasoning the fugitive uses to select a bridge, the pursuer—b...89%The fugitive can escape only if the pursuer cannot reliably predict wh...88%

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    SEP: game-theory
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    However, if we now complicate the situation by adding a non-parametric element, it becomes more challenging. Suppose that you are a fugitive of some sort, and waiting on the other side of the river with a gun is your pursuer. She will catch and shoot you, let us suppose, only if she waits at the bridge you try to cross; otherwise, you will escape. As you reason through your choice of bridge, it occurs to you that she is over there trying to anticipate your reasoning. It will seem that, surely, c

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