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    Whatever reasoning the fugitive uses to select a bridge, ... — Carmelics
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    Supports→Any reasoning process that leads the fugitive to a 'best' bridge choice will be anticipated by an equally rational pursuer, making that choice suboptimal.

    Whatever reasoning the fugitive uses to select a bridge, the pursuer—being equally rational—can replicate that reasoning.

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    Related

    A predicted choice leads to certain capture.Any reasoning process that leads the fugitive to a 'best' bridge choice will be ...If the pursuer can replicate the fugitive's reasoning, she can predict the fugit...

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    Any reasoning process the fugitive uses to select a bridge can be dupl...94%If the fugitive's reasoning selects a particular bridge as optimal, th...94%Any reasoning process that leads the fugitive to a 'best' bridge choic...91%If the pursuer can replicate the fugitive's reasoning, she can predict...89%

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    SEP: game-theory
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    However, if we now complicate the situation by adding a non-parametric element, it becomes more challenging. Suppose that you are a fugitive of some sort, and waiting on the other side of the river with a gun is your pursuer. She will catch and shoot you, let us suppose, only if she waits at the bridge you try to cross; otherwise, you will escape. As you reason through your choice of bridge, it occurs to you that she is over there trying to anticipate your reasoning. It will seem that, surely, c

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