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    Carmelics

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    Home/Original/inverse
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    Inverse View

    It is not the case that Uncertainty in epistemic states cannot be eliminated even with infinite past observations

    ?Set your confidence on the premises below to see your aggregate.

    Reasons For

    2 perspectives
    Reason for 1 of 2
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    • 1.The argument conflates model underdetermination with ontological indeterminacy: the existence of indistinguishable trajectories in model space does not entail that the actual system lacks a determinate state.
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    • 2.Laplace's demon thought experiment establishes that a being with complete positional and momentum data could compute all future states, meaning epistemic limits reflect computational finitude, not in-principle irresolvability.
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    • 3.Distinguishing computational from principled uncertainty undermines the claim's universality, since chaos theory describes sensitivity to initial conditions, not the metaphysical unavailability of those conditions.
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    Reason for 2 of 2
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    • 1.Peirce's convergence thesis holds that the limit of infinite scientific inquiry converges on truth, making residual uncertainty asymptotically negligible rather than ineliminable.
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    • 2.If epistemic uncertainty approaches zero as a mathematical limit under infinite observation, the practical and theoretical distinction between 'eliminated' and 'asymptotically eliminated' collapses for any finite evidentiary purpose.
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    Reasons Against

    1 perspective
    Reason against
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    • 1.No matter how many observations of a system are made, there will always be a set of trajectories in model state space indistinguishable from the actual trajectory of the target system
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    • 2.Even with infinite past observations, the unknown ontological state of the target system means epistemic uncertainty cannot be fully resolved
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    Explore the most compelling reason on the other side.