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    LoyalLoyalJusticeJustice
    Made withinDC&Austin
    The fugitive can surprise the pursuer only if it is possi... — Carmelics
    Statements
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    Home/Skepticism
    HistoryEditSee Inverse

    The fugitive can surprise the pursuer only if it is possible for the fugitive to surprise himself.

    Free Will & ForeknowledgeSkepticism
    ?Rate how convincing each reason is below to see the overall strength.
    1 reason for
    2 reasons against

    Reasons For

    1 perspective
    Reason for
    ?
    • 1.Both the fugitive and pursuer have symmetric logical reasoning power.
      ?

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    • 2.Any reasoning process the fugitive uses to select a bridge can be duplicated by the pursuer.
      ?

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    • 3.Genuine unpredictability to the pursuer requires that the fugitive's own choice not be determined by his reasoning alone.
      ?

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    Reasons Against

    2 perspectives
    Reason against 1 of 2
    ?
    • 1.Asymmetric information about one's own deliberative process is epistemically possible: an agent can act on reasons opaque to external observers.
      ?

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    • 2.The pursuer's duplication of reasoning requires access to the fugitive's internal weighting of considerations, which is not guaranteed by logical parity alone.
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    • 3.Ryle's distinction between knowing-how and knowing-that implies that the fugitive's procedural knowledge of his own choice-making need not be propositionally replicable by the pursuer.
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    Reason against 2 of 2
    ?
    • 1.Frankfurt's compatibilist account establishes that an agent can be the author of a choice even when that choice is causally determined by prior states the agent reflectively endorses.
      ?

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    • 2.If the fugitive's choice is determined by his own endorsed deliberative character rather than by reasoning transparent to the pursuer, surprise is compatible with self-knowledge without requiring self-ignorance.
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    Topics

    SkepticismFree Will & Foreknowledge

    Connections

    2 topics

    Truth & Knowledge2 linkedModality & Possibility2 linked

    Related

    Any reasoning process the fugitive uses to select a bridge can be duplicated by ...Asymmetric information about one's own deliberative process is epistemically pos...Both the fugitive and pursuer have symmetric logical reasoning power.Frankfurt's compatibilist account establishes that an agent can be the author of...
    +4 moreShow less
    Genuine unpredictability to the pursuer requires that the fugitive's own choice ...If the fugitive's choice is determined by his own endorsed deliberative characte...Ryle's distinction between knowing-how and knowing-that implies that the fugitiv...

    Similar

    The fugitive can escape only if the pursuer cannot reliably predict wh...84%Genuine unpredictability to the pursuer requires that the fugitive's o...82%If the pursuer can replicate the fugitive's reasoning, she can predict...81%The fugitive has no special knowledge about the pursuer that would jus...80%

    Source

    AI-extracted1/3 agreementValid
    SEP: game-theory
    View source passageHide passage
    The games we’ve modeled to this point have all involved players choosing from amongst pure strategies, in which each seeks a single optimal course of action at each node that constitutes a best reply to the actions of others. Often, however, a player’s utility is optimized through use of a mixed strategy, in which she flips a weighted coin amongst several possible actions. (We will see later that there is an alternative interpretation of mixing, not involving randomization at a particular inform
    Extraction notes

    Validity: Extracted via Max plan + API grounding/validity checks

    Details

    The pursuer's duplication of reasoning requires access to the fugitive's interna...
    Type
    claim
    Perspectives
    3 (1 for, 2 against)
    Edits
    1 edit